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Vail Resorts: Slopes of Income and Growth

The Income Maven

Mar 19, 2023

Vail Resorts, Inc. (NYSE: MTN) brings luxury, adventure, and leisure to life with its world-class ski resorts and mountain destinations. For retirees seeking an income investment with exposure to the thriving tourism and recreation sector, Vail offers a unique opportunity to generate returns while benefiting from its robust business model.


Founded in 1957, Vail operates some of the most iconic ski destinations globally, including Vail, Beaver Creek, Breckenridge, and Whistler Blackcomb. With over 41 mountain resorts across the United States, Canada, and Australia, the company dominates the ski industry and has diversified its operations to include real estate and hospitality.

Income Potential

Vail Resorts is an attractive income play, offering a dividend yield of 3%. While slightly below some higher-yielding stocks, the company's dividend has shown strong growth over the years. In fact, its dividend has increased by 12% annually over the past five years, reflecting management's commitment to rewarding shareholders.

A $10,000 investment in Vail would generate $300 annually in dividends today, with the potential for further increases as the company continues to expand its operations and capitalize on growing consumer spending in travel and leisure.


Growth Prospects


  1. Epic Pass Subscription Model:Vail’s Epic Pass program is a game-changer, transforming the company’s revenue model. By selling passes in advance, Vail locks in revenue and reduces its dependency on unpredictable snowfall and weather conditions. Epic Pass sales have grown consistently, with the program contributing more than 60% of total lift revenue.

  2. Global Expansion:With acquisitions in Australia, Canada, and the U.S., Vail has solidified its position as a global leader in mountain tourism. Recent additions like Seven Springs in Pennsylvania and Mount Snow in Vermont have expanded its reach into key markets.

  3. Post-Pandemic Travel Boom:The resurgence in travel and recreation after the pandemic is driving increased visitation to Vail’s resorts. The company has benefited from higher spending per visitor, with rising demand for premium services and on-site lodging.

  4. Real Estate and Hospitality:In addition to skiing, Vail has a significant real estate portfolio, including luxury lodging and dining options. This diversification enhances revenue stability and provides additional growth opportunities.


Valuation

Vail trades at a forward P/E ratio of 19, which is slightly above the leisure industry average. However, this premium reflects the company’s market-leading position and strong growth prospects, making it a worthy consideration for long-term investors.


Risk Analysis

While Vail offers strong growth and income potential, it’s important to consider these risks:

  • Weather Dependency: Despite its Epic Pass model, poor snowfall can still impact visitation and overall revenue.

  • Economic Sensitivity: As a luxury service, Vail’s business is highly sensitive to economic downturns, when discretionary spending on travel may decline.

  • High Operating Costs: The hospitality industry is capital-intensive, and rising labor or utility costs could impact margins.

Why Retirees Should Consider Vail

For retirees seeking a blend of income, growth, and a unique investment tied to the thriving travel and leisure sector, Vail Resorts is an excellent choice. Its strong dividend history, innovative revenue model through Epic Pass, and strategic global expansion position it for long-term success.


While slightly more cyclical than traditional income stocks, Vail offers diversification into an industry that is rebounding strongly post-pandemic. Its dividend growth and premium positioning in the market make it a compelling option for retirees looking to diversify their income portfolio while capturing some upside from the leisure economy.

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